The Middle East is tense due to instability in Syria, tensions between Israel and Turkey, and disparate views among the Druze minority. Israel and Netanyahu fear the advance of Sunni Islamism in Syria, while some support stability in Syria and others consider al-Sharaa a threat.
The conflicts between Ukraine, the United States, and Russia persist without progress towards peace. Moscow attacks Kiev, despite Trump’s conversations with Zelensky. Russian attacks cause injuries and fires in the Ukrainian capital. Tension increases due to the blockade of military aid and possible changes in bilateral relations. Russia does not stop the war, while suggestions are made to soften sanctions. Ukraine strengthens its defense and European alliances in the face of war and stalled negotiations.
The position of the United States in a potential war against Iran is divided by the right, with contradictory messages from Donald Trump. The president’s ambiguity reflects pro-Israeli and anti-interventionist influences. At stake is the Westernism ideology against Islamism, and the strategy to expand Israel’s power in the Middle East. Trump faces pressures that could influence his electoral base and the future of his administration.
The Western Balkans, including Bosnia, Serbia, and Kosovo, face internal instability and rivalries between the influence of the EU and Russia. The United States could increase its role under Trump, while the Dayton Peace Agreement is at risk.
At the NATO summit in The Hague, defense spending will be discussed and threats from Russia and China will be addressed. Trump criticizes the value of NATO
