Europe needs an agreement with Ukraine to counter Russian influence. The US and Russia’s proposal ignores Ukraine and Europe. The US’s lack of clarity on its goals and Trump’s priority of ending the war complicate the situation. Russia seeks economic benefits at Ukraine and Europe’s expense. Putin aims to weaken the relationships between the US, Ukraine, and Europe, seeking submission.
Frozen Russian funds are a key economic tool in peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, mainly in European countries. The EU and US seek to manage them to influence Russia, generating tensions and crucial decisions for continental stability and security, especially in the face of Ukraine’s need for financing.
The US peace plan for Ukraine, negotiated with Moscow, worries Kiev and Europe as it appears to be a surrender. Proposal of territorial cession to Russian control, reduction of the Ukrainian army and unfavorable conditions for Ukraine. Although there is no official confirmation, the plan generates agitation in Europe. It is feared that it is pressure from Washington on Kiev. Russia continues its military actions.
Russian military thinkers use non-military and indirect military measures, such as disinformation and cyberattacks, to achieve strategic objectives and prepare the battlefield. Europe must better understand Russian thinking, share information, reduce the grey area and innovate to counter these activities. Western policies, although with efforts from the EU and NATO, remain defensive and reactive.
The Hungarian government of Orbán has been pro-Russian since 2010 for ideological and pragmatic economic reasons. After the 2026 elections, its foreign policy could change. If Orbán remains in power, he will remain friendly with Russia and anti-Ukrainian. If the opposition wins, it will align with the EU’s policy on Russia and Ukraine. Orbán has praised Russia and frequently met with Putin.
