The crisis between China and Japan, over Taiwan and Tokyo’s statements, tests Trump. Beijing sees interference and military threats. China’s economic pressure on Japan. Taiwan supports Japan and the situation could be the most serious diplomatic confrontation in years.
Taiwan and Japan strengthen defense of their submarine cables against constant Chinese interference. Recent incidents, such as damage to the Taiwan-Penghu No. 3 cable, have generated tensions. Taiwan accuses Chinese ships of intentionally cutting their vital communication cables. Taiwan has implemented protection measures, such as the Submarine Cable Automatic Warning System. Japan has also elevated the importance of its submarine infrastructure, seeking autonomy and minimizing Chinese technologies.
The Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific regions are interconnected in terms of security. Germany focuses on the threat from Russia to Ukraine and the conflict in the Indo-Pacific. China and North Korea back Russia. Europe watches with unease the cooperation between China, Russia, and North Korea in the face of a possible conflict in Taiwan. The use of hybrid tactics and cyberattacks is also a concern. France seeks strategic autonomy in the Indo-Pacific, while the UK and Poland see China as the main systemic rival.
After months of trade war, the summit between Trump and Xi Jinping is set in stone. Both countries extend the tariff truce for 90 days. Key issues will be Chinese excess capacity, investments, and fentanyl control. It is highlighted that negotiations should not focus solely on these aspects.
Beijing strengthens its position in the Indo-Pacific, advancing territorial claims and attracting allies, taking advantage of the U.S.’s distraction with trade.
