In Brazil, the Comando Vermelho generates chaos in Rio de Janeiro with a recent confrontation of 121 dead. It controls slums and companies, recruiting young people for crimes and expanding throughout Brazil and neighboring countries. The PCC in São Paulo is its rival. The right wants violent repression, the left social solutions. Violence persists and the population seeks a middle solution.
The European Union and Mercosur are close to a historic free trade agreement, after more than twenty years of negotiations. The alliance would involve more than 700 million people and an annual exchange of almost 100 billion euros. Environmental and agricultural issues have been addressed. Following the acceleration of conversations by the Spanish presidency of the EU Council and the interest of Brazil and Argentina, the ratification of the agreement is expected in 2025, despite opposition.
Lula implementa el programa Brasil Soberano para apoyar a empresas por los altos aranceles de Trump y fortalecer alianzas comerciales con los Brics, buscando mercados alternativos en Asia, y ampliando acuerdos incluyendo con la UE. Se teme reducción en exportaciones y PIB. Se implementa un plan con exenciones fiscales y créditos especialeros.
The White House publishes a list of tariffs for 92 countries, with increases ranging from 10% to 41%, seeking to compensate for fiscal cuts. The EU will apply a 15% tariff on European products, while Brazil and Canada face increases. There are no changes in tariffs to China. The markets react negatively, increasing economic uncertainty.
China imposes high tariffs on Brazil in response to the political crisis, affecting key sectors such as industry and agriculture. Trump justifies the measure politically, excluding the aeronautical sector, which benefits Embraer. Moraes faces Magnitsky Act sanctions. The conflict between Brasilia and Washington persists in a tense triangle with Obama, Trump, and Bolsonaro.
